The takeaway
GraniteShares ETF Trust - GraniteShares 2x Long Tilray Daily ETF shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 4 years of data — strongest in June (+10.3%) and softest in April (−4.2%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 100% of years, averaging +2.1% — essentially in line with the S&P 500.
The full picture
GraniteShares ETF Trust - GraniteShares 2x Long Tilray Daily ETF's most dependable month has been June, higher in 3 of 3 years; April has been its least reliable, up just 33% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in June (+10.0 pts); it has trailed the market most in December (−6.4 pts).
“vs S&P” is GraniteShares ETF Trust - GraniteShares 2x Long Tilray Daily ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating GraniteShares ETF Trust - GraniteShares 2x Long Tilray Daily ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 3 years, June has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 4 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) June return and how often it rose — the last 3 years versus the last 4(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 4-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a fund you can almost set a calendar by, and June is the anchor — it has closed higher in all 3 Junes, the steadiest beat on its year.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+10.3%) and median (+12.8%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Few months are steadier: June's returns vary by just 6.0% year to year, and even its worst June in 4 years lost only 2.0% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Better still, that strength is the fund's own and not just a buoyant market — June has outpaced the S&P 500 by +10.0 points on average. Few peers keep such company in June — the typical stock clears it just 52% of the time.
June anchors a run, too: the May-through-July window has been the fund's reliable season. At the other end of the calendar, April has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−4.2%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in December, April, and September. Its roughest month on record was a −22.0% December in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
For a fund this dependable in June, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 4-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (June), its worst (April), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2022 its best month (June, +10.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (April, −4.2%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
June has been the strongest, averaging +10.3% and closing higher in all 3 years on record since 2022.
It's the weakest, averaging −4.2% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade