The takeaway
Advantage Solutions Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 7 years of data — strongest in November (−2.6%) and softest in September (−9.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 50% of years, averaging +6.6%, about +4.5 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Advantage Solutions Inc's most dependable month has been November, higher in 4 of 7 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 14% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2019 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in July (+4.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−10.1 pts).
“vs S&P” is Advantage Solutions Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Advantage Solutions Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 40% of the time versus 57% across the last 7 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 7(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 7-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The year leans November's way without overwhelming the rest of it: the stock has closed higher in 4 of 7 Novembers, its most dependable month if not a dominant one.
Its average (−2.6%) and median (+1.8%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even November ranges by 19.1% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average.
On the other side of the ledger, September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 7 months that average a loss (−9.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, September, and April. Its roughest month on record was a −40.2% September in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, November's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
Treat it as a tendency rather than a rule — seasonality describes the past, not a promise. With a short 7-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2019 its best month (November, −2.6%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −9.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging −2.6% and closing higher in 4 of 7 years since 2019.
It's the weakest, averaging −9.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade