The takeaway
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 3 years of data — strongest in March (+5.5%) and softest in April (−8.7%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 67% of years, averaging +5.2%, about +3.1 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.'s most dependable month has been March, higher in 2 of 3 years; April has been its least reliable, up just 33% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in March (+4.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−10.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 3 years, March has closed higher 67% of the time versus 67% across the last 3 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) March return and how often it rose — the last 3 years versus the last 3(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 3-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a feast-or-famine calendar. March reads as the strong month, higher in 2 of 3 Marches, but the tale is one of a few outsized years more than steady gains.
Read it with one caveat: the average (+5.5%) runs well ahead of the median (+0.5%), so a handful of outsized years — not steady strength — do much of the lifting. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even March ranges by 8.2% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — March has outpaced the S&P 500 by +4.5 points on average.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — June, July, and August have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. At the other end of the calendar, April has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−8.7%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in April, October, and November. Its roughest month on record was a −31.9% November in 2025 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Hold it loosely, then: the March tendency is genuine but lumpy, more about the occasional outsized year than a gain to bank on. With a short 3-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (March), its worst (April), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2023 its best month (March, +5.5%) has run well ahead of its worst (April, −8.7%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
March has been the strongest, averaging +5.5% and closing higher in 2 of 3 years since 2023.
It's the weakest, averaging −8.7% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade