The takeaway
XIAO-I Corporation American Depositary Shares shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 3 years of data — strongest in February (+7.7%) and softest in August (−28.9%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 33% of years, averaging +10.9%, about +8.7 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
XIAO-I Corporation American Depositary Shares's most dependable month has been February, higher in 2 of 2 years; August has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in July (+8.7 pts); it has trailed the market most in August (−29.2 pts).
“vs S&P” is XIAO-I Corporation American Depositary Shares’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating XIAO-I Corporation American Depositary Shares’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Not enough recent February history to say whether the pattern still holds.
Figures are the typical (median) February return and how often it rose — the last 2 years versus the last 3(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 3-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: February, up in all 2 Februaries while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+7.7%) and median (+7.7%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is also the calendar's calmest month, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 4.6% spread), and even its worst February in 3 years lost only 3.1% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: February has cleared the S&P 500 by +7.9 points above the index. It bucks the broad tape, besides: February lifts just 49% of stocks across the market.
Only November comes anywhere near it for reliability. On the other side of the ledger, August has been the soft spot — the weakest of 8 months that average a loss (−28.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in August, April, and June. Its roughest month on record was a −72.7% August in 2023 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: February aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 3-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (February), its worst (August), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2023 its best month (February, +7.7%) has run well ahead of its worst (August, −28.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
February has been the strongest, averaging +7.7% and closing higher in all 2 years on record since 2023.
It's the weakest, averaging −28.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade