The takeaway
Alkami Technology Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in May (+5.0%) and softest in March (−9.4%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 40% of years, averaging −4.5%, roughly 6.6 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Alkami Technology Inc's most dependable month has been May, higher in 4 of 5 years; March has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in August (+4.7 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−10.5 pts).
“vs S&P” is Alkami Technology Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Alkami Technology Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, May has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) May return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — May. It has closed higher in 4 of 5 Mays, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+5.0%) and median (+9.9%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even May ranges by 18.2% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — May has outpaced the S&P 500 by +4.3 points on average. Few peers keep such company in May — the typical stock clears it just 55% of the time.
May anchors a run, too: the April-through-June window has been the stock's reliable season. At the other end of the calendar, March has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−9.4%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, July, and February.
For a stock this dependable in May, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (May), its worst (March), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2021 its best month (May, +5.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (March, −9.4%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
May has been the strongest, averaging +5.0% and closing higher in 4 of 5 years since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −9.4% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
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