The takeaway
Leverage Shares 2X Long ARM Daily ETF shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 2 years of data — strongest in June (+62.1%) and softest in November (−37.0%).
Right now
In July, the fund has fallen 0% of years, averaging −21.7%, roughly 23.8 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Leverage Shares 2X Long ARM Daily ETF's most dependable month has been June, higher in 1 of 1 years; November has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in June (+61.9 pts); it has trailed the market most in November (−39.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is Leverage Shares 2X Long ARM Daily ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Leverage Shares 2X Long ARM Daily ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Not enough recent June history to say whether the pattern still holds.
Figures are the typical (median) June return and how often it rose — the last 1 years versus the last 2(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 2-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: June, up in all 1 Junes while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+62.1%) and median (+62.1%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is also the calendar's calmest month, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 0.0% spread), and even its worst June in 2 years lost only 62.1% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Crucially, the gain is the fund's own rather than a rising tide's: June has cleared the S&P 500 by +61.9 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages June only about 52% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — April–June forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. The weaker half of the year is plainer: November has been the soft spot — the weakest of 6 months that average a loss (−37.0%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in November, February, and March. Its roughest month on record was a −37.0% November in 2025 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: June aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 2-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (June), its worst (November), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2024 its best month (June, +62.1%) has run well ahead of its worst (November, −37.0%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
June has been the strongest, averaging +62.1% and closing higher in its one year on record since 2024.
It's the weakest, averaging −37.0% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade