The takeaway
Autohome Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in January (+3.2%) and softest in October (−8.0%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 50% of years, averaging −0.8%, roughly 3.0 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Autohome Inc's most dependable month has been January, higher in 6 of 10 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+3.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−9.0 pts).
“vs S&P” is Autohome Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Autohome Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, January has closed higher 80% of the time versus 60% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) January return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
There's a real but measured seasonal tilt here, toward January — the firmest corner of the calendar, higher in 6 of 10 Januaries.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+3.2%) and median (+8.7%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even January ranges by 13.5% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — January has outpaced the S&P 500 by +3.4 points on average.
Only August comes anywhere near it for reliability. The weaker half of the year is plainer: October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−8.0%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, November, and June. Its roughest month on record was a −28.2% July in 2021 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Januaries run ahead of the earlier years.
Treat it as a tendency rather than a rule — seasonality describes the past, not a promise.
Short answers on the stock's best month (January), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (January, +3.2%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −8.0%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
January has been the strongest, averaging +3.2% and closing higher in 6 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −8.0% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade