The takeaway
Avantis Core Fixed Income ETF shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 6 years of data — strongest in November (+1.9%) and softest in October (−1.2%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 80% of years, averaging +1.3%, roughly 0.9 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Avantis Core Fixed Income ETF's most dependable month has been November, higher in 6 of 6 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 17% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2020 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
Across the year the fund has stayed close to the S&P 500 — no single month stands out as a real edge.
“vs S&P” is Avantis Core Fixed Income ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Avantis Core Fixed Income ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 6 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 6(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 6-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: November, up in all 6 Novembers while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+1.9%) and median (+1.4%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. Set against the S&P 500, mind, November is close to a wash — the gain mirrors the market more than it beats it. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages November only about 62% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, May, and June have also closed higher more often than not. At the other end of the calendar, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−1.2%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in April, October, and March.
November has now closed higher 6 years running. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: November aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 6-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (November), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2020 its best month (November, +1.9%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −1.2%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +1.9% and closing higher in all 6 years on record since 2020.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.2% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade