The takeaway
Axos Financial Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in November (+8.9%) and softest in March (−6.7%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 80% of years, averaging +9.7%, about +7.5 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Axos Financial Inc's most dependable month has been November, higher in 9 of 10 years; March has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in July (+7.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−7.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Axos Financial Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Axos Financial Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 100% of the time versus 90% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. November stands out, higher in 9 of 10 Novembers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
The headline flatters a touch — its +8.9% average sits well above the +3.1% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Novembers. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even November ranges by 10.4% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: November has cleared the S&P 500 by +6.6 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages November only about 62% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — November–February forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. The weaker half of the year is plainer: March has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−6.7%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, September, and May. Its roughest month on record was a −30.1% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
November has now closed higher 6 years running. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: November aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (March), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (November, +8.9%) has run well ahead of its worst (March, −6.7%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +8.9% and closing higher in 9 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −6.7% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade