The takeaway
Baxter International Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in February (+1.0%) and softest in October (−7.4%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 50% of years, averaging −3.0%, roughly 5.1 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Baxter International Inc's most dependable month has been February, higher in 7 of 10 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 10% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+2.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−8.4 pts).
“vs S&P” is Baxter International Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Baxter International Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, February has closed higher 80% of the time versus 70% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) February return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: February, up in 7 of 10 Februaries while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+1.0%) and median (+3.0%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: February has cleared the S&P 500 by +1.3 points above the index. It bucks the broad tape, besides: February lifts just 49% of stocks across the market.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — February–April forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. On the other side of the ledger, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−7.4%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, July, and May. Its roughest month on record was a −30.3% July in 2025 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Februaries run ahead of the earlier years.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: February aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (February), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (February, +1.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −7.4%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
February has been the strongest, averaging +1.0% and closing higher in 7 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −7.4% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade