The takeaway
Brookfield Business Partners LP shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in September (+7.3%) and softest in April (−0.9%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 40% of years, averaging −0.9%, roughly 3.0 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Brookfield Business Partners LP's most dependable month has been September, higher in 7 of 10 years; April has been its least reliable, up just 33% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in September (+7.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−4.1 pts).
“vs S&P” is Brookfield Business Partners LP’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Brookfield Business Partners LP’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, September has closed higher 80% of the time versus 70% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) September return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: September, up in 7 of 10 Septembers while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+7.3%) and median (+8.0%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even September ranges by 10.6% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: September has cleared the S&P 500 by +7.4 points above the index. It bucks the broad tape, besides: September lifts just 39% of stocks across the market.
A few other months pull their weight: August and November have also closed higher more often than not. On the other side of the ledger, April has been the soft spot — the weakest of 6 months that average a loss (−0.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, June, and March. Its roughest month on record was a −37.2% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Septembers run ahead of the earlier years.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: September aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (September), its worst (April), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (September, +7.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (April, −0.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
September has been the strongest, averaging +7.3% and closing higher in 7 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −0.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade