The takeaway
Ke Holdings Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 6 years of data — strongest in November (+8.3%) and softest in October (−8.9%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 40% of years, averaging −12.2%, roughly 14.3 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Ke Holdings Inc's most dependable month has been November, higher in 4 of 6 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 17% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in August (+8.8 pts); it has trailed the market most in July (−14.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is Ke Holdings Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Ke Holdings Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 80% of the time versus 67% across the last 6 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 6(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 6-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
November looks the standout, up in 4 of 6 Novembers — yet the appeal is lumpy, leaning on the occasional blow-out year rather than dependable strength.
The headline flatters a touch — its +8.3% average sits well above the +2.0% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Novembers. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even November ranges by 24.0% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: November has cleared the S&P 500 by +6.0 points above the index. Some of that is a strong month market-wide, mind — November rises for about 62% of stocks — so the tendency is real if not unique.
A few other months pull their weight: January, April, and September have also closed higher more often than not. On the other side of the ledger, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 6 months that average a loss (−8.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in July, March, and October. Its roughest month on record was a −53.2% July in 2021 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Novembers run ahead of the earlier years.
Hold it loosely, then: the November tendency is genuine but lumpy, more about the occasional outsized year than a gain to bank on. With a short 6-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2020 its best month (November, +8.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −8.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +8.3% and closing higher in 4 of 6 years since 2020.
It's the weakest, averaging −8.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade