The takeaway
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short BMNR ETF shows a slight seasonal lean over 1 years of data — strongest in November (−9.7%) and softest in December (−12.3%).
Right now
Not enough July history yet to summarize.
The full picture
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short BMNR ETF's most dependable month has been November, higher in 0 of 1 years; December has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Median return % | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (−12.1 pts); it has trailed the market most in December (−13.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is Defiance Daily Target 2X Short BMNR ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Defiance Daily Target 2X Short BMNR ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Not enough recent November history to say whether the pattern still holds.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 1 years versus the last 1(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 1-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
There's little seasonal signal to find. No month pulls clear: November is nominally the steadiest, yet at 0 of 1 Novembers it's barely better than a coin toss.
Its roughest month on record was a −12.3% December in 2025 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The honest read is that the calendar is close to noise here — better treated as background than a reason to act. With a short 1-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (November), its worst (December), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The fund's months are fairly even — November is the firmest (−9.7%) and December the softest (−12.3%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
November has been the strongest, averaging −9.7% and closing higher in 0 of 1 years since 2025.
It's the weakest, averaging −12.3% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade