The takeaway
Brightspire Capital Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 8 years of data — strongest in June (+6.2%) and softest in September (−4.1%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 63% of years, averaging +3.1%, about +1.0 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Brightspire Capital Inc's most dependable month has been June, higher in 6 of 8 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 25% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2018 | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in June (+6.0 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−10.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Brightspire Capital Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Brightspire Capital Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, June has closed higher 60% of the time versus 75% across the last 8 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) June return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 8(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 8-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. June stands out, higher in 6 of 8 Junes, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
The headline flatters a touch — its +6.2% average sits well above the +2.5% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Junes. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even June ranges by 13.7% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: June has cleared the S&P 500 by +6.0 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages June only about 52% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — May–July forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. At the other end of the calendar, September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−4.1%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, September, and August. Its roughest month on record was a −69.3% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, June's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: June aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 8-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (June), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2018 its best month (June, +6.2%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −4.1%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
June has been the strongest, averaging +6.2% and closing higher in 6 of 8 years since 2018.
It's the weakest, averaging −4.1% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade