The takeaway
Braze Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in December (+8.5%) and softest in April (−8.7%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 75% of years, averaging +6.6%, about +4.4 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Braze Inc's most dependable month has been December, higher in 4 of 5 years; April has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in December (+7.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−10.4 pts).
“vs S&P” is Braze Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Braze Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, December has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) December return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: December, up in 4 of 5 Decembers while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+8.5%) and median (+6.4%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even December ranges by 9.0% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: December has cleared the S&P 500 by +7.4 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages December only about 58% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — November–January forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. On the other side of the ledger, April has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−8.7%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in April, February, and October. Its roughest month on record was a −31.3% January in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: December aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (December), its worst (April), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2021 its best month (December, +8.5%) has run well ahead of its worst (April, −8.7%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
December has been the strongest, averaging +8.5% and closing higher in 4 of 5 years since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −8.7% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade