The takeaway
Invesco BulletShares 2026 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF shows a slight seasonal lean over 8 years of data — strongest in July (+1.8%) and softest in February (−0.4%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 86% of years, averaging +1.8% — essentially in line with the S&P 500.
The full picture
Invesco BulletShares 2026 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF's most dependable month has been July, higher in 6 of 7 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 43% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2018 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+1.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−2.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is Invesco BulletShares 2026 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Invesco BulletShares 2026 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 80% of the time versus 86% across the last 8 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 8(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 8-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a fund you can almost set a calendar by, and July is the anchor — it has closed higher in 6 of 7 Julys, the steadiest beat on its year.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+1.8%) and median (+1.2%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Set against the S&P 500, mind, July is close to a wash — the gain mirrors the market more than it beats it. Few peers keep such company in July — the typical stock clears it just 61% of the time.
July anchors a run, too: the April-through-August window has been the fund's reliable season. At the other end of the calendar, February is the year's quietest corner, essentially flat on average, and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in March, November, and October. Its roughest month on record was a −13.3% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
For a fund this dependable in July, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 8-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (July), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The fund's months are fairly even — July is the firmest (+1.8%) and February the softest (−0.4%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
July has been the strongest, averaging +1.8% and closing higher in 6 of 7 years since 2018.
It's the weakest, averaging −0.4% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade