The takeaway
Peabody Energy Corp shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 9 years of data — strongest in June (−0.3%) and softest in October (−11.9%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 56% of years, averaging +7.6%, about +5.5 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Peabody Energy Corp's most dependable month has been June, higher in 6 of 9 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 11% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in December (+7.7 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−12.9 pts).
“vs S&P” is Peabody Energy Corp’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Peabody Energy Corp’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, June has closed higher 60% of the time versus 67% across the last 9 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) June return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 9(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 9-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The year leans June's way without overwhelming the rest of it: the stock has closed higher in 6 of 9 Junes, its most dependable month if not a dominant one.
Its average (−0.3%) and median (+1.3%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is also the calendar's calmest month, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 9.6% spread). Set against the S&P 500, mind, June is close to a wash — the gain mirrors the market more than it beats it. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages June only about 52% of the time.
Only January comes anywhere near it for reliability. At the other end of the calendar, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−11.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, March, and April. Its roughest month on record was a −43.5% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
Treat it as a tendency rather than a rule — seasonality describes the past, not a promise. With a short 9-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (June), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2017 its best month (June, −0.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −11.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
June has been the strongest, averaging −0.3% and closing higher in 6 of 9 years since 2017.
It's the weakest, averaging −11.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade