The takeaway
Crescent Capital BDC Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 6 years of data — strongest in November (+2.9%) and softest in October (−1.5%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 67% of years, averaging +0.9%, roughly 1.2 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Crescent Capital BDC Inc's most dependable month has been November, higher in 5 of 6 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 33% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
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| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+3.9 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−7.0 pts).
“vs S&P” is Crescent Capital BDC Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Crescent Capital BDC Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 80% of the time versus 83% across the last 6 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 6(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 6-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. November stands out, higher in 5 of 6 Novembers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+2.9%) and median (+4.3%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 4.6% spread). Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: November has cleared the S&P 500 by +0.5 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages November only about 62% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — November–January forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. At the other end of the calendar, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−1.5%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, October, and July. Its roughest month on record was a −36.7% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: November aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 6-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2020 its best month (November, +2.9%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −1.5%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +2.9% and closing higher in 5 of 6 years since 2020.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.5% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade