The takeaway
Capital City Bank Group shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in October (+3.7%) and softest in March (−5.4%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +4.1%, about +2.0 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Capital City Bank Group's most dependable month has been October, higher in 8 of 10 years; March has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+3.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−6.4 pts).
“vs S&P” is Capital City Bank Group’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Capital City Bank Group’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, October has closed higher 60% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) October return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. October stands out, higher in 8 of 10 Octobers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+3.7%) and median (+2.8%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: October has cleared the S&P 500 by +2.7 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages October only about 53% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: February, May, and June have also closed higher more often than not. At the other end of the calendar, March has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−5.4%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, December, and April. Its roughest month on record was a −25.8% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
At its steadiest, October strung together 7 straight positive years. The pattern has softened of late, October's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: October aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (October), its worst (March), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (October, +3.7%) has run well ahead of its worst (March, −5.4%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
October has been the strongest, averaging +3.7% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −5.4% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade