The takeaway
Celcuity LLC shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 9 years of data — strongest in April (+10.9%) and softest in January (−4.3%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 38% of years, averaging +22.2%, about +20.1 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Celcuity LLC's most dependable month has been April, higher in 6 of 8 years; January has been its least reliable, up just 25% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| 2017 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in July (+20.1 pts); it has trailed the market most in February (−4.2 pts).
“vs S&P” is Celcuity LLC’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Celcuity LLC’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, April has closed higher 60% of the time versus 75% across the last 9 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) April return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 9(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 9-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: April, up in 6 of 8 Aprils while the other eleven tend to blur together.
The headline flatters a touch — its +10.9% average sits well above the +5.9% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Aprils. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even April ranges by 33.5% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: April has cleared the S&P 500 by +9.2 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages April only about 55% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: June and August have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: January has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−4.3%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in February, January, and September. Its roughest month on record was a −30.7% November in 2019 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, April's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: April aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 9-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (April), its worst (January), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2017 its best month (April, +10.9%) has run well ahead of its worst (January, −4.3%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
April has been the strongest, averaging +10.9% and closing higher in 6 of 8 years since 2017.
It's the weakest, averaging −4.3% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade