The takeaway
Capital Group International Bond ETF (USD-Hedged) shows a slight seasonal lean over 2 years of data — strongest in April (+1.5%) and softest in March (−0.5%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 50% of years, averaging +0.9%, roughly 1.2 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Capital Group International Bond ETF (USD-Hedged)'s most dependable month has been April, higher in 1 of 1 years; March has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in September (+1.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in November (−1.9 pts).
“vs S&P” is Capital Group International Bond ETF (USD-Hedged)’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Capital Group International Bond ETF (USD-Hedged)’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Not enough recent April history to say whether the pattern still holds.
Figures are the typical (median) April return and how often it rose — the last 1 years versus the last 2(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 2-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. April stands out, higher in all 1 Aprils, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+1.5%) and median (+1.5%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is also the calendar's calmest month, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 0.0% spread), and even its worst April in 2 years lost only 1.5% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Set against the S&P 500, mind, April is close to a wash — the gain mirrors the market more than it beats it. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages April only about 55% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, February, and September have also closed higher more often than not. On the other side of the ledger, March is the year's quietest corner, essentially flat on average, and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in November, March, and December.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: April aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 2-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (April), its worst (March), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The fund's months are fairly even — April is the firmest (+1.5%) and March the softest (−0.5%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
April has been the strongest, averaging +1.5% and closing higher in its one year on record since 2024.
It's the weakest, averaging −0.5% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade