The takeaway
Chimera Investment Corporation shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in June (+6.8%) and softest in September (−3.9%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +4.4%, about +2.3 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Chimera Investment Corporation's most dependable month has been June, higher in 9 of 10 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in June (+6.6 pts); it has trailed the market most in September (−3.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Chimera Investment Corporation’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Chimera Investment Corporation’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, June has closed higher 80% of the time versus 90% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) June return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: June, up in 9 of 10 Junes while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+6.8%) and median (+7.0%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: June has cleared the S&P 500 by +6.6 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages June only about 52% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, March, and April have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 6 months that average a loss (−3.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in September, April, and March. Its roughest month on record was a −55.0% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Junes run ahead of the earlier years.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: June aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (June), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (June, +6.8%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −3.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
June has been the strongest, averaging +6.8% and closing higher in 9 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade