The takeaway
CNH Industrial N.V. shows a slight seasonal lean over 10 years of data — strongest in December (+2.8%) and softest in July (+2.5%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 40% of years, averaging +2.5% — essentially in line with the S&P 500.
The full picture
CNH Industrial N.V.'s most dependable month has been December, higher in 6 of 10 years; July has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+3.1 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−4.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is CNH Industrial N.V.’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating CNH Industrial N.V.’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, December has closed higher 40% of the time versus 60% across the last 10 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) December return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The year leans December's way without overwhelming the rest of it: the stock has closed higher in 6 of 10 Decembers, its most dependable month if not a dominant one.
Its average (+2.8%) and median (+3.0%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even December ranges by 8.8% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: December has cleared the S&P 500 by +1.8 points above the index.
A few other months pull their weight: January, March, and June have also closed higher more often than not. On the other side of the ledger, July is the year's low point, though even there the stock has stayed positive on average (+2.5%), a sign every month leans up, and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March and May. Its roughest month on record was a −40.8% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, December's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
Treat it as a tendency rather than a rule — seasonality describes the past, not a promise.
Short answers on the stock's best month (December), its worst (July), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The stock's months are fairly even — December is the firmest (+2.8%) and July the softest (+2.5%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
December has been the strongest, averaging +2.8% and closing higher in 6 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest month, but it has still averaged a small gain (+2.5%) — quiet rather than genuinely bad.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade