The takeaway
Teucrium Corn Fund shows a slight seasonal lean over 10 years of data — strongest in January (+1.8%) and softest in November (−1.1%).
Right now
In July, the fund has fallen 30% of years, averaging −1.8%, roughly 4.0 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Teucrium Corn Fund's most dependable month has been January, higher in 7 of 10 years; November has been its least reliable, up just 10% of the time.
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Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+2.0 pts); it has trailed the market most in July (−4.0 pts).
“vs S&P” is Teucrium Corn Fund’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Teucrium Corn Fund’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, January has closed higher 60% of the time versus 70% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) January return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — January. It has closed higher in 7 of 10 Januaries, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+1.8%) and median (+1.4%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Better still, that strength is the fund's own and not just a buoyant market — January has outpaced the S&P 500 by +2.0 points on average. Few peers keep such company in January — the typical stock clears it just 53% of the time.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — September and December have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. At the other end of the calendar, November has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−1.1%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in July, June, and November.
If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Januaries run ahead of the earlier years.
For a fund this dependable in January, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on.
Short answers on the fund's best month (January), its worst (November), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The fund's months are fairly even — January is the firmest (+1.8%) and November the softest (−1.1%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
January has been the strongest, averaging +1.8% and closing higher in 7 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.1% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
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