The takeaway
Coursera Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in July (+16.6%) and softest in December (−7.8%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +16.6%, about +14.5 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Coursera Inc's most dependable month has been July, higher in 3 of 5 years; December has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in July (+14.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in February (−11.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is Coursera Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Coursera Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 60% of the time versus 60% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The year leans July's way without overwhelming the rest of it: the stock has closed higher in 3 of 5 Julys, its most dependable month if not a dominant one.
Its average (+16.6%) and median (+20.4%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even July ranges by 20.7% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: July has cleared the S&P 500 by +14.5 points above the index. Some of that is a strong month market-wide, mind — July rises for about 61% of stocks — so the tendency is real if not unique.
A few other months pull their weight: March, September, and November have also closed higher more often than not. At the other end of the calendar, December has been the soft spot — the weakest of 8 months that average a loss (−7.8%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in February, December, and May. Its roughest month on record was a −30.6% February in 2023 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Treat it as a tendency rather than a rule — seasonality describes the past, not a promise. With a short 5-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (July), its worst (December), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2021 its best month (July, +16.6%) has run well ahead of its worst (December, −7.8%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +16.6% and closing higher in 3 of 5 years since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −7.8% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade