The takeaway
Coupang LLC shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in February (+12.3%) and softest in November (−2.9%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 40% of years, averaging +0.8%, roughly 1.4 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Coupang LLC's most dependable month has been February, higher in 3 of 4 years; November has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in February (+12.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−8.1 pts).
“vs S&P” is Coupang LLC’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Coupang LLC’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 4 years, February has closed higher 75% of the time versus 75% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) February return and how often it rose — the last 4 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — February. It has closed higher in 3 of 4 Februaries, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+12.3%) and median (+12.5%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even February ranges by 17.1% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — February has outpaced the S&P 500 by +12.5 points on average. It is the more striking for the company it keeps — February is a losing month for most of the market, where barely 49% of names gain ground.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — April, June, and October have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. The weaker half of the year is plainer: November has been the soft spot — the weakest of 6 months that average a loss (−2.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, December, and November. Its roughest month on record was a −30.6% March in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
For a stock this dependable in February, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (February), its worst (November), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2021 its best month (February, +12.3%) has run well ahead of its worst (November, −2.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
February has been the strongest, averaging +12.3% and closing higher in 3 of 4 years since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade