The takeaway
Crescent Energy Co shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in August (+13.2%) and softest in April (−13.0%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 100% of years, averaging +9.4%, about +7.3 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Crescent Energy Co's most dependable month has been August, higher in 4 of 4 years; April has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in August (+12.8 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−14.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Crescent Energy Co’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Crescent Energy Co’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 4 years, August has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) August return and how often it rose — the last 4 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: August, up in all 4 Augusts while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+13.2%) and median (+13.3%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even August ranges by 9.3% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: August has cleared the S&P 500 by +12.8 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages August only about 52% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: May and July have also closed higher more often than not. At the other end of the calendar, April has been the soft spot — the weakest of 6 months that average a loss (−13.0%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in April, September, and December. Its roughest month on record was a −32.5% June in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: August aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (August), its worst (April), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2021 its best month (August, +13.2%) has run well ahead of its worst (April, −13.0%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
August has been the strongest, averaging +13.2% and closing higher in all 4 years on record since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −13.0% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade