The takeaway
Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares shows a slight seasonal lean over 4 years of data — strongest in January (+6.4%) and softest in May (+6.9%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 75% of years, averaging +3.5%, about +1.3 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares's most dependable month has been January, higher in 3 of 3 years; May has been its least reliable, up just 50% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in June (+37.9 pts); it has trailed the market most in February (−15.8 pts).
“vs S&P” is Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 3 years, January has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 4 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) January return and how often it rose — the last 3 years versus the last 4(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 4-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — January. It has closed higher in all 3 Januaries, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
Read it with one caveat: the average (+6.4%) runs well ahead of the median (+1.3%), so a handful of outsized years — not steady strength — do much of the lifting. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even January ranges by 8.1% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — January has outpaced the S&P 500 by +6.6 points on average. Few peers keep such company in January — the typical stock clears it just 53% of the time.
The lift is near-universal — strength runs through almost every month of the year, not one window. The weaker half of the year is plainer: May is the year's low point, though even there the stock has stayed positive on average (+6.9%), a sign every month leans up, and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in February, November, and March. Its roughest month on record was a −75.3% February in 2025 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
For a stock this dependable in January, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 4-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (January), its worst (May), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The stock's months are fairly even — January is the firmest (+6.4%) and May the softest (+6.9%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
January has been the strongest, averaging +6.4% and closing higher in all 3 years on record since 2022.
It's the weakest month, but it has still averaged a small gain (+6.9%) — quiet rather than genuinely bad.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
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