The takeaway
Cavco Industries Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in July (+7.2%) and softest in October (−4.4%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 90% of years, averaging +7.2%, about +5.1 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Cavco Industries Inc's most dependable month has been July, higher in 9 of 10 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+7.0 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−5.5 pts).
“vs S&P” is Cavco Industries Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Cavco Industries Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 80% of the time versus 90% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. July stands out, higher in 9 of 10 Julys, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
The headline flatters a touch — its +7.2% average sits well above the +3.8% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Julys. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even July ranges by 10.7% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: July has cleared the S&P 500 by +5.1 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages July only about 61% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, February, and March have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−4.4%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, March, and December. Its roughest month on record was a −29.5% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
A long streak recently broke — July had risen 9 years straight before a −10.8% reading in 2025. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: July aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (July), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (July, +7.2%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −4.4%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +7.2% and closing higher in 9 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −4.4% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade