The takeaway
Xtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF shows a slight seasonal lean over 10 years of data — strongest in November (+2.3%) and softest in June (0.0%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 60% of years, averaging +1.3%, roughly 0.9 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Xtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF's most dependable month has been November, higher in 8 of 10 years; June has been its least reliable, up just 50% of the time.
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Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+1.1 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−1.2 pts).
“vs S&P” is Xtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Xtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. November stands out, higher in 8 of 10 Novembers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
A typical November brings +1.1%, a shade under the +2.3% average. Set against the S&P 500, mind, November is close to a wash — the gain mirrors the market more than it beats it. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages November only about 62% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — September–December forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. On the other side of the ledger, June is the year's quietest corner, essentially flat on average, and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in March, July, and October. Its roughest month on record was a −14.1% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: November aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the fund's best month (November), its worst (June), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The fund's months are fairly even — November is the firmest (+2.3%) and June the softest (0.0%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
November has been the strongest, averaging +2.3% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging 0.0% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
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