The takeaway
Docebo Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 6 years of data — strongest in August (+13.2%) and softest in May (−8.8%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 83% of years, averaging +6.1%, about +3.9 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Docebo Inc's most dependable month has been August, higher in 5 of 6 years; May has been its least reliable, up just 17% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in August (+12.9 pts); it has trailed the market most in May (−9.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is Docebo Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Docebo Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, August has closed higher 80% of the time versus 83% across the last 6 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) August return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 6(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 6-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — August. It has closed higher in 5 of 6 Augusts, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+13.2%) and median (+13.2%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even August ranges by 11.3% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — August has outpaced the S&P 500 by +12.9 points on average. Few peers keep such company in August — the typical stock clears it just 52% of the time.
August anchors a run, too: the June-through-August window has been the stock's reliable season. The weaker half of the year is plainer: May has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−8.8%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in May, September, and February. Its roughest month on record was a −23.7% May in 2024 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
For a stock this dependable in August, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 6-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (August), its worst (May), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2020 its best month (August, +13.2%) has run well ahead of its worst (May, −8.8%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
August has been the strongest, averaging +13.2% and closing higher in 5 of 6 years since 2020.
It's the weakest, averaging −8.8% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade