The takeaway
Diversified Energy Company plc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 8 years of data — strongest in November (+46.8%) and softest in October (−3.7%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 57% of years, averaging +6.3%, about +4.1 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Diversified Energy Company plc's most dependable month has been November, higher in 5 of 6 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 14% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | — | |||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | — | |||||||||||
| 2019 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 2018 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+44.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in February (−7.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Diversified Energy Company plc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Diversified Energy Company plc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 100% of the time versus 83% across the last 8 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 8(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 8-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — November. It has closed higher in 5 of 6 Novembers, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
Read it with one caveat: the average (+46.8%) runs well ahead of the median (+29.1%), so a handful of outsized years — not steady strength — do much of the lifting. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even November ranges by 47.1% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — November has outpaced the S&P 500 by +44.5 points on average. Few peers keep such company in November — the typical stock clears it just 62% of the time.
Only May comes anywhere near it for reliability. On the other side of the ledger, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−3.7%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in February, October, and January. Its roughest month on record was a −50.0% February in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
November has now closed higher 5 years running. If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Novembers run ahead of the earlier years.
For a stock this dependable in November, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 8-year record and returns that swing hard year to year, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2018 its best month (November, +46.8%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −3.7%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +46.8% and closing higher in 5 of 6 years since 2018.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.7% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade