The takeaway
Dimensional US Core Equity Market ETF shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 6 years of data — strongest in July (+3.4%) and softest in April (−2.0%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 100% of years, averaging +3.4%, about +1.2 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Dimensional US Core Equity Market ETF's most dependable month has been July, higher in 5 of 5 years; April has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| Median return % | ||||||||||||
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| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+1.7 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−3.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Dimensional US Core Equity Market ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Dimensional US Core Equity Market ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 6 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 6(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 6-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a fund you can almost set a calendar by, and July is the anchor — it has closed higher in all 5 Julys, the steadiest beat on its year.
A typical July brings +2.2%, a shade under the +3.4% average. No month is steadier: July's returns vary by just 2.5% year to year, and even its worst July in 6 years lost only 1.1% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Better still, that strength is the fund's own and not just a buoyant market — July has outpaced the S&P 500 by +1.2 points on average. Few peers keep such company in July — the typical stock clears it just 61% of the time.
July anchors a run, too: the May-through-August window has been the fund's reliable season. On the other side of the ledger, April has been the soft spot — the weakest of 2 months that average a loss (−2.0%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in April and September.
July has now closed higher 5 years running.
For a fund this dependable in July, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 6-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (July), its worst (April), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2020 its best month (July, +3.4%) has run well ahead of its worst (April, −2.0%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +3.4% and closing higher in all 5 years on record since 2020.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.0% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade