The takeaway
Driven Brands Holdings Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in November (+5.6%) and softest in September (−8.3%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 60% of years, averaging +1.5%, roughly 0.6 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Driven Brands Holdings Inc's most dependable month has been November, higher in 3 of 5 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
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| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in June (+3.6 pts); it has trailed the market most in September (−8.2 pts).
“vs S&P” is Driven Brands Holdings Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Driven Brands Holdings Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 60% of the time versus 60% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a feast-or-famine calendar. November reads as the strong month, higher in 3 of 5 Novembers, but the tale is one of a few outsized years more than steady gains.
Read it with one caveat: the average (+5.6%) runs well ahead of the median (+2.5%), so a handful of outsized years — not steady strength — do much of the lifting. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even November ranges by 10.0% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — November has outpaced the S&P 500 by +3.3 points on average. Some of that is a strong month market-wide, mind — November rises for about 62% of stocks — so the tendency is real if not unique.
November anchors a run, too: the October-through-February window has been the stock's reliable season. At the other end of the calendar, September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−8.3%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in September, August, and May. Its roughest month on record was a −41.7% August in 2023 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Hold it loosely, then: the November tendency is genuine but lumpy, more about the occasional outsized year than a gain to bank on. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2021 its best month (November, +5.6%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −8.3%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +5.6% and closing higher in 3 of 5 years since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −8.3% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade