The takeaway
Excelerate Energy Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 4 years of data — strongest in November (+15.0%) and softest in August (−2.1%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 75% of years, averaging +4.2%, about +2.1 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Excelerate Energy Inc's most dependable month has been November, higher in 4 of 4 years; August has been its least reliable, up just 25% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+12.7 pts); it has trailed the market most in December (−6.8 pts).
“vs S&P” is Excelerate Energy Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Excelerate Energy Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 4 years, November has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 4 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 4 years versus the last 4(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 4-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — November. It has closed higher in all 4 Novembers, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+15.0%) and median (+13.2%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even November ranges by 8.3% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — November has outpaced the S&P 500 by +12.7 points on average. Few peers keep such company in November — the typical stock clears it just 62% of the time.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — February, March, and May have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. At the other end of the calendar, August has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−2.1%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in December, June, and January. Its roughest month on record was a −30.8% June in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
For a stock this dependable in November, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 4-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (August), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2022 its best month (November, +15.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (August, −2.1%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +15.0% and closing higher in all 4 years on record since 2022.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.1% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade