The takeaway
Elemental Royalty Corporation Common Stock shows a slight seasonal lean over 6 years of data — strongest in October (−0.6%) and softest in January (−2.4%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 40% of years, averaging −1.5%, roughly 3.6 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Elemental Royalty Corporation Common Stock's most dependable month has been October, higher in 5 of 6 years; January has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
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| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in December (+4.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in July (−3.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is Elemental Royalty Corporation Common Stock’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Elemental Royalty Corporation Common Stock’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, October has closed higher 80% of the time versus 83% across the last 6 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) October return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 6(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 6-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
The seasonal story is really one month's story — October. It has closed higher in 5 of 6 Octobers, a concentration the rest of the calendar can't touch.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (−0.6%) and median (+2.1%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. Few peers keep such company in October — the typical stock clears it just 53% of the time.
It doesn't stand entirely alone — March and April have leaned firm as well, if less emphatically. At the other end of the calendar, January has been the soft spot — the weakest of 7 months that average a loss (−2.4%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in July, August, and May. Its roughest month on record was a −21.4% September in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
One run worth flagging just ended: a 5-year streak of positive Octobers was snapped by a −16.1% close in 2025. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
For a stock this dependable in October, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on. With a short 6-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (October), its worst (January), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The stock's months are fairly even — October is the firmest (−0.6%) and January the softest (−2.4%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
October has been the strongest, averaging −0.6% and closing higher in 5 of 6 years since 2020.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.4% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
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