The takeaway
EPR Properties shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in May (+4.7%) and softest in September (−2.8%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 50% of years, averaging +0.2%, roughly 1.9 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
EPR Properties's most dependable month has been May, higher in 8 of 10 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+5.4 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−5.1 pts).
“vs S&P” is EPR Properties’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating EPR Properties’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, May has closed higher 100% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) May return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: May, up in 8 of 10 Mays while the other eleven tend to blur together.
The headline flatters a touch — its +4.7% average sits well above the +1.7% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Mays. It is also the calendar's calmest month, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 5.9% spread), and even its worst May in 10 years lost only 2.4% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: May has cleared the S&P 500 by +3.9 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages May only about 55% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, February, and June have also closed higher more often than not. On the other side of the ledger, September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−2.8%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, October, and September. Its roughest month on record was a −59.5% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
May has now closed higher 6 years running. If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Mays run ahead of the earlier years.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: May aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (May), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (May, +4.7%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −2.8%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
May has been the strongest, averaging +4.7% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.8% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade