The takeaway
Eagle Materials Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in November (+6.2%) and softest in February (−1.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 50% of years, averaging +5.9%, about +3.7 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Eagle Materials Inc's most dependable month has been November, higher in 8 of 10 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+3.9 pts); it has trailed the market most in December (−2.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is Eagle Materials Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Eagle Materials Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 100% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. November stands out, higher in 8 of 10 Novembers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+6.2%) and median (+6.9%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 6.8% spread), and even its worst November in 10 years lost only 5.3% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: November has cleared the S&P 500 by +3.9 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages November only about 62% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, March, and April have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: February has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−1.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in December, February, and March. Its roughest month on record was a −28.5% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
November has now closed higher 6 years running. If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Novembers run ahead of the earlier years.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: November aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (November, +6.2%) has run well ahead of its worst (February, −1.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +6.2% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade