The takeaway
Expedia Group Inc. shows a slight seasonal lean over 10 years of data — strongest in April (+4.7%) and softest in August (+2.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 70% of years, averaging +4.2%, about +2.1 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Expedia Group Inc.'s most dependable month has been April, higher in 7 of 10 years; August has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in November (+6.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−5.5 pts).
“vs S&P” is Expedia Group Inc.’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Expedia Group Inc.’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, April has closed higher 40% of the time versus 70% across the last 10 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) April return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
This is a stock you can almost set a calendar by, and April is the anchor — it has closed higher in 7 of 10 Aprils, the steadiest beat on its year.
The strength looks broad-based rather than freakish: its average (+4.7%) and median (+3.5%) sit close together, so no single blow-out year is flattering the figure. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even April ranges by 12.3% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Better still, that strength is the stock's own and not just a buoyant market — April has outpaced the S&P 500 by +3.1 points on average. Few peers keep such company in April — the typical stock clears it just 55% of the time.
April anchors a run, too: the April-through-July window has been the stock's reliable season. On the other side of the ledger, August is the year's low point, though even there the stock has stayed positive on average (+2.6%), a sign every month leans up, and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, May, and October. Its roughest month on record was a −41.6% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, April's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
For a stock this dependable in April, the sharper question is the rest of the year — outside its strong stretch, the calendar gives far less to lean on.
Short answers on the stock's best month (April), its worst (August), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The stock's months are fairly even — April is the firmest (+4.7%) and August the softest (+2.6%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
April has been the strongest, averaging +4.7% and closing higher in 7 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest month, but it has still averaged a small gain (+2.6%) — quiet rather than genuinely bad.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
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