The takeaway
First Advantage Corp shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in July (+3.4%) and softest in October (−6.8%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 80% of years, averaging +3.4%, about +1.2 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
First Advantage Corp's most dependable month has been July, higher in 4 of 5 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in March (+6.8 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−7.9 pts).
“vs S&P” is First Advantage Corp’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating First Advantage Corp’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: July, up in 4 of 5 Julys while the other eleven tend to blur together.
The headline flatters a touch — its +3.4% average sits well above the +1.2% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Julys. It is also the calendar's calmest month, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 4.5% spread). Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: July has cleared the S&P 500 by +1.2 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages July only about 61% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, March, and August have also closed higher more often than not. The weaker half of the year is plainer: October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−6.8%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in October, April, and February. Its roughest month on record was a −20.5% February in 2025 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: July aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (July), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2021 its best month (July, +3.4%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −6.8%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +3.4% and closing higher in 4 of 5 years since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −6.8% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade