The takeaway
Pinnacle Focused Opportunities ETF shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 4 years of data — strongest in January (+7.0%) and softest in April (−4.4%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 67% of years, averaging +3.6%, about +1.4 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Pinnacle Focused Opportunities ETF's most dependable month has been January, higher in 3 of 3 years; April has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+7.2 pts); it has trailed the market most in April (−6.1 pts).
“vs S&P” is Pinnacle Focused Opportunities ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Pinnacle Focused Opportunities ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 3 years, January has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 4 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) January return and how often it rose — the last 3 years versus the last 4(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 4-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. January stands out, higher in all 3 Januaries, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
Its average (+7.0%) and median (+8.6%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is among its calmest months, too, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 2.6% spread), and even its worst January in 4 years lost only 3.4% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Crucially, the gain is the fund's own rather than a rising tide's: January has cleared the S&P 500 by +7.2 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages January only about 53% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — May–January forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. The weaker half of the year is plainer: April has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−4.4%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in April, March, and February. Its roughest month on record was a −13.6% March in 2025 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: January aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 4-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (January), its worst (April), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2022 its best month (January, +7.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (April, −4.4%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
January has been the strongest, averaging +7.0% and closing higher in all 3 years on record since 2022.
It's the weakest, averaging −4.4% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade