The takeaway
Capital-Force ETF Trust shows a slight seasonal lean over 10 years of data — strongest in January (+1.8%) and softest in February (−0.6%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 70% of years, averaging +3.2%, about +1.1 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Capital-Force ETF Trust's most dependable month has been January, higher in 8 of 10 years; February has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
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Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in May (+2.2 pts); it has trailed the market most in December (−3.1 pts).
“vs S&P” is Capital-Force ETF Trust’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Capital-Force ETF Trust’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, January has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) January return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: January, up in 8 of 10 Januaries while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+1.8%) and median (+2.7%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. Crucially, the gain is the fund's own rather than a rising tide's: January has cleared the S&P 500 by +2.0 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages January only about 53% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: April, May, and June have also closed higher more often than not. On the other side of the ledger, February has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−0.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in December, March, and April. Its roughest month on record was a −17.8% October in 2018 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Januaries run ahead of the earlier years.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: January aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the fund's best month (January), its worst (February), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Only mildly. The fund's months are fairly even — January is the firmest (+1.8%) and February the softest (−0.6%), a narrow spread that points to weak seasonality rather than a strong calendar effect.
January has been the strongest, averaging +1.8% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −0.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade