The takeaway
Global X FinTech ETF shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in July (+4.9%) and softest in September (−2.3%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 89% of years, averaging +4.9%, about +2.7 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Global X FinTech ETF's most dependable month has been July, higher in 8 of 9 years; September has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
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| 2016 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+3.3 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−4.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is Global X FinTech ETF’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Global X FinTech ETF’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 80% of the time versus 89% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: July, up in 8 of 9 Julys while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+4.9%) and median (+4.9%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is also the calendar's calmest month, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 4.2% spread), and even its worst July in 10 years lost only 1.6% — the gentlest downside anywhere on its calendar. Crucially, the gain is the fund's own rather than a rising tide's: July has cleared the S&P 500 by +2.7 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages July only about 61% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — April–August forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. The weaker half of the year is plainer: September has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−2.3%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in March, October, and September. Its roughest month on record was a −22.3% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: July aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the fund's best month (July), its worst (September), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (July, +4.9%) has run well ahead of its worst (September, −2.3%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +4.9% and closing higher in 8 of 9 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.3% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade