The takeaway
Fox Factory Holding Corp shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in July (+6.5%) and softest in March (−6.0%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 90% of years, averaging +6.5%, about +4.3 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Fox Factory Holding Corp's most dependable month has been July, higher in 9 of 10 years; March has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | ||||||||||||
| 2019 | ||||||||||||
| 2018 | ||||||||||||
| 2017 | ||||||||||||
| 2016 |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in June (+8.6 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−7.0 pts).
“vs S&P” is Fox Factory Holding Corp’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Fox Factory Holding Corp’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 100% of the time versus 90% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: July, up in 9 of 10 Julys while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+6.5%) and median (+7.3%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is also the calendar's calmest month, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 5.4% spread). Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: July has cleared the S&P 500 by +4.3 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages July only about 61% of the time.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — May–July forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. The weaker half of the year is plainer: March has been the soft spot — the weakest of 6 months that average a loss (−6.0%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, October, and September. Its roughest month on record was a −34.6% November in 2025 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
July has now closed higher 6 years running. Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: July aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (July), its worst (March), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (July, +6.5%) has run well ahead of its worst (March, −6.0%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +6.5% and closing higher in 9 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −6.0% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade