The takeaway
FVCBankcorp Inc shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in September (+6.8%) and softest in January (−2.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 70% of years, averaging +4.8%, about +2.7 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
FVCBankcorp Inc's most dependable month has been September, higher in 7 of 10 years; January has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
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Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in September (+6.9 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−4.7 pts).
“vs S&P” is FVCBankcorp Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating FVCBankcorp Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, September has closed higher 80% of the time versus 70% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) September return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. September stands out, higher in 7 of 10 Septembers, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
The headline flatters a touch — its +6.8% average sits well above the +0.7% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Septembers. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even September ranges by 16.4% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: September has cleared the S&P 500 by +6.9 points above the index. It bucks the broad tape, besides: September lifts just 39% of stocks across the market.
The strength clusters rather than stands alone — July–September forms a firm stretch that carries much of the year. On the other side of the ledger, January has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−2.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, April, and January. Its roughest month on record was a −21.2% March in 2023 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Septembers run ahead of the earlier years.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: September aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (September), its worst (January), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2016 its best month (September, +6.8%) has run well ahead of its worst (January, −2.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
September has been the strongest, averaging +6.8% and closing higher in 7 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −2.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade