The takeaway
Invesco CurrencyShares® Japanese Yen Trust shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in July (+1.1%) and softest in October (−1.9%).
Right now
In July, the fund has risen 70% of years, averaging +1.1%, roughly 1.0 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Invesco CurrencyShares® Japanese Yen Trust's most dependable month has been July, higher in 7 of 10 years; October has been its least reliable, up just 20% of the time.
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Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+0.5 pts); it has trailed the market most in October (−2.9 pts).
“vs S&P” is Invesco CurrencyShares® Japanese Yen Trust’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Invesco CurrencyShares® Japanese Yen Trust’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 80% of the time versus 70% across the last 10 years — the pattern is strengthening.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: July, up in 7 of 10 Julys while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+1.1%) and median (+1.4%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. Some of that is a strong month market-wide, mind — July rises for about 61% of stocks — so the tendency is real if not unique.
A few other months pull their weight: January, May, and November have also closed higher more often than not. On the other side of the ledger, October has been the soft spot — the weakest of 4 months that average a loss (−1.9%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in October, November, and April.
A long streak recently broke — July had risen 5 years straight before a −4.6% reading in 2025. If anything it has sharpened recently — the last five Julys run ahead of the earlier years.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: July aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the fund's best month (July), its worst (October), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (July, +1.1%) has run well ahead of its worst (October, −1.9%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +1.1% and closing higher in 7 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −1.9% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade