The takeaway
Direxion Daily GOOGL Bear 1X Shares shows a pronounced seasonal pattern over 4 years of data — strongest in February (+9.7%) and softest in May (−8.0%).
Right now
In July, the fund has fallen 33% of years, averaging −3.9%, roughly 6.0 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Direxion Daily GOOGL Bear 1X Shares's most dependable month has been February, higher in 3 of 3 years; May has been its least reliable, up just 0% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Month by month
The fund's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in February (+10.0 pts); it has trailed the market most in November (−9.0 pts).
“vs S&P” is Direxion Daily GOOGL Bear 1X Shares’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Direxion Daily GOOGL Bear 1X Shares’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 3 years, February has closed higher 100% of the time versus 100% across the last 4 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) February return and how often it rose — the last 3 years versus the last 4(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 4-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: February, up in all 3 Februaries while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+9.7%) and median (+9.7%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. Crucially, the gain is the fund's own rather than a rising tide's: February has cleared the S&P 500 by +10.0 points above the index. It bucks the broad tape, besides: February lifts just 49% of stocks across the market.
No other month comes close to matching it — the rest of the calendar is unremarkable by comparison. On the other side of the ledger, May has been the soft spot — the weakest of 10 months that average a loss (−8.0%), and the edge isn't year-round — the fund has trailed the S&P 500 in November, May, and January. Its roughest month on record was a −13.7% September in 2025 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: February aside, the fund's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 4-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the fund's best month (February), its worst (May), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a pronounced degree. Since 2022 its best month (February, +9.7%) has run well ahead of its worst (May, −8.0%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
February has been the strongest, averaging +9.7% and closing higher in all 3 years on record since 2022.
It's the weakest, averaging −8.0% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade