The takeaway
Global Partners LP shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 10 years of data — strongest in July (+4.1%) and softest in June (−3.0%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 80% of years, averaging +4.1%, about +1.9 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Global Partners LP's most dependable month has been July, higher in 8 of 10 years; June has been its least reliable, up just 30% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | ||||||||||||
| 2019 | ||||||||||||
| 2018 | ||||||||||||
| 2017 | ||||||||||||
| 2016 |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+7.6 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−7.3 pts).
“vs S&P” is Global Partners LP’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Global Partners LP’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, July has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 10 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) July return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 10(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 10-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. July stands out, higher in 8 of 10 Julys, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
A typical July brings +2.9%, a shade under the +4.1% average. That reliability comes with real swings, mind — even July ranges by 8.2% from year to year, so any single year can land far from the average. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: July has cleared the S&P 500 by +1.9 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages July only about 61% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, April, and May have also closed higher more often than not. On the other side of the ledger, June has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−3.0%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, June, and February. Its roughest month on record was a −52.0% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
Reassuringly, the tendency has held its shape: the recent five years still track the years behind them.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: July aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt.
Short answers on the stock's best month (July), its worst (June), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2016 its best month (July, +4.1%) has run well ahead of its worst (June, −3.0%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
July has been the strongest, averaging +4.1% and closing higher in 8 of 10 years since 2016.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.0% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade