The takeaway
Grindr Inc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 5 years of data — strongest in April (+3.4%) and softest in July (−3.7%).
Right now
In July, the stock has fallen 40% of years, averaging −3.7%, roughly 5.9 pts behind the S&P 500.
The full picture
Grindr Inc's most dependable month has been April, higher in 4 of 5 years; July has been its least reliable, up just 40% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+2.7 pts); it has trailed the market most in July (−5.9 pts).
“vs S&P” is Grindr Inc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Grindr Inc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, April has closed higher 80% of the time versus 80% across the last 5 years — the pattern is holding.
Figures are the typical (median) April return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 5(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 5-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Dependability is the through-line here. April stands out, higher in 4 of 5 Aprils, but it heads a clutch of months that pull the year reliably upward.
The headline flatters a touch — its +3.4% average sits well above the +0.5% a typical year delivers, the work of a few big Aprils. Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: April has cleared the S&P 500 by +1.7 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages April only about 55% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, February, and August have also closed higher more often than not. At the other end of the calendar, July has been the soft spot — the weakest of 3 months that average a loss (−3.7%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in July, November, and August. Its roughest month on record was a −32.4% November in 2022 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: April aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 5-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (April), its worst (July), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2021 its best month (April, +3.4%) has run well ahead of its worst (July, −3.7%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
April has been the strongest, averaging +3.4% and closing higher in 4 of 5 years since 2021.
It's the weakest, averaging −3.7% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade