The takeaway
Gates Industrial Corporation plc shows a moderate seasonal pattern over 8 years of data — strongest in November (+5.0%) and softest in December (−0.6%).
Right now
In July, the stock has risen 75% of years, averaging +4.9%, about +2.8 pts better than the S&P 500.
The full picture
Gates Industrial Corporation plc's most dependable month has been November, higher in 6 of 8 years; December has been its least reliable, up just 25% of the time.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate % | ||||||||||||
| Median return % | ||||||||||||
| 2025 | ||||||||||||
| 2024 | ||||||||||||
| 2023 | ||||||||||||
| 2022 | ||||||||||||
| 2021 | ||||||||||||
| 2020 | ||||||||||||
| 2019 | ||||||||||||
| 2018 |
Month by month
The stock's clearest edge over the S&P 500 lands in January (+3.6 pts); it has trailed the market most in March (−4.6 pts).
“vs S&P” is Gates Industrial Corporation plc’s average for a month minus the S&P 500’s average for that same month — isolating Gates Industrial Corporation plc’s own seasonal edge from broad market drift.
Reality check
Over the last 5 years, November has closed higher 80% of the time versus 75% across the last 8 years — the pattern is weakening.
Figures are the typical (median) November return and how often it rose — the last 5 years versus the last 8(the heatmap’s default window). This verdict stays anchored to that 8-year window even if you zoom the chart, so it never disagrees with the badges above.
In plain English
Strip the year back and a single month does the heavy lifting: November, up in 6 of 8 Novembers while the other eleven tend to blur together.
Its average (+5.0%) and median (+6.0%) land within a hair of each other — the tell of steady, year-after-year gains rather than one outlier doing the work. It is also the calendar's calmest month, its returns swinging least from year to year (a 7.3% spread). Crucially, the gain is the stock's own rather than a rising tide's: November has cleared the S&P 500 by +2.7 points above the index. That consistency sets it apart from the field, where the average stock manages November only about 62% of the time.
A few other months pull their weight: January, February, and June have also closed higher more often than not. At the other end of the calendar, December has been the soft spot — the weakest of 5 months that average a loss (−0.6%), and the edge isn't year-round — the stock has trailed the S&P 500 in March, October, and August. Its roughest month on record was a −31.7% March in 2020 — a reminder of how hard even a seasonal name can fall.
The pattern has softened of late, November's last five years slipping below its longer-run record.
The takeaway is less about when to buy than what to expect: November aside, the stock's months offer little reliable tilt. With a short 8-year record, the signal is best held loosely.
Short answers on the stock's best month (November), its worst (December), and whether it really trades seasonally.
Yes, to a moderate degree. Since 2018 its best month (November, +5.0%) has run well ahead of its worst (December, −0.6%) — the heatmap above shows how steady that gap has been year to year.
November has been the strongest, averaging +5.0% and closing higher in 6 of 8 years since 2018.
It's the weakest, averaging −0.6% — historically a soft spot, though it still varies from year to year.
Explore
These names have the strongest July track records on record — a starting point for comparison.
Before you trade